Category Political intelligence

The problem is rarely missing information. It is missing prioritisation: who decides what matters, on whose desk it lands, and what happens if nobody owns the answer.

A good briefing is defined by what it leaves out, and by who answers for the leaving-out. On the difference between coverage and judgement.

The sharpest early warnings come from what travels between countries, not from inside any one of them. A note on clusters, cascades and direction.